Patrick Mahomes has never lost ATS as an underdog, will that happen against Bucs?
Patrick Mahomes is in his fifth season as the starting quarterback for the Kansas City Chiefs. He has never lost against the spread as an underdog.
It’s a bit of a misleading stat, because the Chiefs have rarely been underdogs with Mahomes starting. But BetMGM data analyst John Ewing noted that every time the Chiefs have been an underdog with Mahomes, they’ve either covered the spread or pushed each time. His record is 6-0-1.
That’s relevant, because Kansas City moved to a 1-point deficit on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday night.
There are countless statistics to show the greatness of Muhammad, and this is on the list.
Here are the seven times, via Stathead, that the Chiefs have been an underdog with Mahomes (there were two games since the start of 2018 that Mahomes missed and the Chiefs were underdogs; they couldn’t cover both times). He made his first career start at the end of the 2017 season:
2017 Week 17: +3 to Broncos, won 27-24
2018 Week 1: +3.5 at Chargers, won 38-28
2018 Week 2: +4.5 at Steelers, won 42-37
2018 Week 6: +3.5 at Patriots, lost 43-40
2018 Week 11: +3 at Rams, lost 54-51 (push)
Week 14 of 2019: +3 at Patriots, won 23-16
Week 3 of 2020: +3.5 on Ravens, won 34-20
That’s a 5-2 straight up record as an underdog, which is also pretty good.
The Chiefs are underdogs this week against the Buccaneers because their offense hasn’t looked good the past two weeks, Tampa Bay’s defense has been great to start the season, and the Bucs offense gets some players back this week.
But beware before betting against Mahomes as an NFL underdog. This bet had never won before.